序号 | 研究机构 | 分析师 | 投资评级 | 报告标题 | 更新日 |
| | | 上期评级 | 评级变动 | | |
1 | 天风证券 | 潘暕,李泓依 | 调低 | 增持 | 2025Q1盈利能力复苏,战略转型聚焦半导体业务 | 2025-05-23 |
闻泰科技(600745)
事件:公司于2025年4月26日发布2024年年度报告和2025年第一季度报告。2024年公司实现营业收入735.98亿元,同比增长20.23%;归母净利润-28.33亿元,比上年减少40.14亿元,转盈为亏;扣非归母净利润-32.42亿元,比上年减少43.69亿元,转盈为亏。2025Q1公司实现营业收入130.99亿元,同比减少19.38%;归母净利润2.61亿元,同比增加82.29%;扣非归母净利润1.54亿元,同比扭亏为盈,比上年同期增加2.41亿元。
点评:公司2024年受美制裁利润承压,2025Q1业绩回暖,恢复增长动能。2024年公司归母净利润转盈为亏主要原因系年末美国实体清单对公司产品集成业务造成全面不利影响,产品集成业务资产发生减值迹象,公司对相关资产进行减值测试,计提减值准备,归母净利润及扣非后归母净利润均承压。2025Q1公司半导体业务复苏性增长,营业收入、归母净利润、毛利率同比均显著增长,整体出货量创近三年来季度新高。公司未来将全面聚焦半导体业务,系统性强化在半导体行业的优势。
聚焦半导体业务,出售产品集成业务相关资产,战略转型构建全新发展格局。2024年公司半导体业务实现营业收入147.15亿元,归母净利润22.97亿元,毛利率37.47%,营收逐季增长,稳中向好,保持稳健的盈利能力;产品集成业务实现营业收入584.31亿元,同比增长31.85%,毛利率2.73%,主要原因系新项目初期定价较低、部分原材料价格上涨、工厂人力成本上升等,盈利能力出现一定下滑。2024年12月2日,受美实体清单制裁公司产品集成业务后续经营状况发生较大变化,基于对地缘政治环境和公司业务发展的研判,公司拟出售产品集成业务资产,集中资源提升半导体业务的盈利能力,巩固并提升在全球功率半导体行业第一梯队的优势地位。
半导体应用领域市场增长空间广阔,增长趋势积极。汽车领域:占半导体业务收入的62.03%,公司产品已广泛应用于驱动系统、电源系统、电控系统、智能座舱系统和高级别辅助驾驶等多个关键领域,随着汽车电动化、智能化趋势的不断推进,以及公司产品料号和平台覆盖范围的持续扩展,未来业务增长空间仍然广阔;工业和消费电子领域:AI技术驱动工业与消费电子市场复苏,公司半导体业务在AI数据中心/AI服务器电源、AI PC、手机等应用中增长较快,依靠功率芯片的行业龙头地位与模拟芯片的创新研发,在工业机器人、协作机器人、家居机器人等领域已经积累了深厚的长期客户资源。
持续加大研发投入,以高ASP产品为未来业务增长持续提供驱动力。公司半导体业务产品线重点包括晶体管、MOSFET功率管、模拟与逻辑IC,2024年占收入比重分别为45.49%、38.43%、16.02%。公司全年投入研发费用18亿元,在对现有产品进行迭代升级推出新产品的基础上,持续开发高功率分立器件(IGBT、SiC和GaN)和模块、逻辑与模拟芯片组合(电源管理芯片、栅极驱动芯片、LED驱动芯片、能量采集芯片、信号链等)新产品,以满足市场对高性能、高功率产品日益增长的需求,有力支撑了公司产品在汽车、工业自动化、光伏新能源、AI服务器、数据中心、消费终端等领域的应用。
投资建议:考虑公司主营业务结构变化,我们下调盈利预测,2025/2026年归母净利润由23.36/34.70亿元下调至11.24/21.56亿元,新增2027年归母净利润预测28.88亿元,下调为“增持”评级。
风险提示:主营业务结构变化和营业收入下降的风险,半导体行业周期性波动的风险,半导体行业供应链风险,半导体行业竞争风险,实体清单持续影响的风险 |
2 | 招银国际 | Lily Yang,Kevin Zhang,Jiahao Jiang | 维持 | 买入 | Resilient 1Q semiconductor sales; nonprofitable ODM business to be deconsolidated | 2025-04-29 |
闻泰科技(600745)
Wingtech released its 1Q25 earnings. Revenue declined by 19.4% YoY toRMB13.1bn, while net profit surged by 82.3% YoY to RMB261mn. GPMrecovered to 14.0% (vs. 9.1%/9.2% in 4Q24/1Q24). By segment, ODM/ semiaccounted for 72%/28% of 1Q sales. The company has entered a transformationphase following the divestment of its ODM business. With a focus now solely onthe semi segment, we expect it will be the core growth driver, benefitted by 1)strong growth in AI servers, 2) recovering demand from consumer and industrialmarkets, 3) growing penetration of EVs and increasing dollar content per NEV(US$20-US$30 per ICE vehicle vs. up to US$100 per EV), and 4) emergingdemand drivers such as humanoid robotics. Maintain BUY with TP unchangedat RMB52.
Semi segment delivered resilient growth, with revenue up 8.4% YoY toRMB3.7bn in 1Q25, benefitted by volume surge (1Q shipment reachedthree-year high). Mgmt. said the company’s capacity was close to fullutilization. By geography, China (47% of FY24 segment revenue)outperformed at 24% YoY in 1Q25 with increasing demand from multiplemarkets, such as recoveries in industrial, consumer, auto markets andstrong growth in AI DC and server demand. The company continues toexpand its analog IC portfolio, targeting the commercialization of more than200 new SKUs in 2025. We expect Wingtech’s semi sales to reachRMB16.3bn (up 11% YoY) in 2025, with GPM remaining stable at 38.5%.We forecast its semi segment’s NP to be RMB2.6bn in 2025, implying 16%NPM (vs. 15.9%/15.6% in 2023/24).
ODM business to be deconsolidated post spin-off. The ODM segmentrecorded a revenue of RMB9.4bn (down 24% YoY) with a GPM of 4.3%,and incurred a net loss of RMB164mn (excluding RMB110mn CD-relatedexpenses). Mgmt. mentioned that the ODM-related assets have beentransferred in Jan 2025. Losses related to Android ODM business in 1Qwould be borne by Luxshare (report). Post spin-off, the non-profitable legacybusiness will have no impact on the company’s financials.
Maintain BUY with unchanged TP at RMB52. Following the completion ofthe divestiture, we expect the market to re-rate the company on a pure-playsemi basis. We have revised down our forecast on revenue, as we excludedODM segment from our calculations. NP is less affected, however, giventhat ODM business is close to breakeven (even though still not profitable).We cut FY25E NP forecast by 7% on a more conservative lower marginof the semi segment. Our TP is based on 26.5x FY25E P/E, close to itspeers’ average and higher than prev. 25x on better sentiment as Wingtechis phasing out its low margin business. Potential risks include: heightenedUS-China trade relations, unfavourable exchange rates, and weaker-thanexpected overseas auto inventory correction |
3 | 平安证券 | 徐勇,徐碧云,郭冠君,陈福栋 | 维持 | 增持 | 聚焦半导体业务,提升产能和产品布局 | 2025-04-28 |
闻泰科技(600745)
事项:
公司公布2025年一季报,2025年第一季度公司实现营收130.99亿元(-19.38%YoY),归属上市公司股东净利润2.61亿元(82.29%YoY)。
平安观点:
聚焦半导体业务,一季度利润高增:2025年第一季度公司实现营收130.99亿元(-19.38%YoY),归属上市公司股东净利润2.61亿元(82.29%YoY),扣非后归属上市公司股东净利润1.54亿元(277.91%YoY)。2025年第一季度公司整体毛利率和净利率分别是13.97%(4.77pctYoY)和1.97%(1.00pctYoY)。其中,2025Q1半导体业务实现收入为37.11亿元,同比增长8.40%,毛利率为38.32%,净利润5.78亿元;2025Q1产品集成业务实现业务收入为93.8亿元,毛利率为4.31%,剔除可转债账务处理形成的财务费用1.1亿元后,产品集成业务净亏损1.64亿元。2024年12月,基于对地缘政治环境的变化及公司业务发展的研判,公司经充分论证和审慎决策,将通过战略转型构建全新发展格局,拟出售产品集成业务资产(2025年3月21日公司已收到交易对方支付的第一期转让价款22.87亿元人民币),后续将全面聚焦半导体业务。费用端:2025年第一季度公司的销售费用率、管理费用率、财务费用率和研发费用率分别为1.65%(0.34pctYoY)、3.34%(0.82pctYoY)、1.07%(0.68pctYoY)和5.23%(0.62pctYoY),公司费用率整体比较稳定。安世半导体是公司半导体业务承载平台,是全球领先的分立与功率芯片IDM领先厂商,是全球领先的汽车半导体公司之一,拥有近1.6万种产品料号。凭借丰富的车规级产品线与上市公司立足中国市场的优势,安世半导体与全球重点的新能源汽车、电网电力、通讯与数据产品等领域企业均建立了深度的合作关系。
持续加大半导体研发投入,提升产能和产品布局:根据公司年报,2024年公司半导体业务来源于汽车、移动及穿戴设备、工业与电力、计算机设备、消费领域的收入占比分别为62.03%、7.99%、20.60%、5.36%、3.74%。汽车领域包括电动汽车仍然是公司半导体收入来源。公司主要区域的收入比例分别为欧洲及中东非区域23.36%、中国区域46.91%、美洲区域9.25%以及其他区域20.47%。公司半导体业务产品线重点包括晶体管(包括保护类器件ESD/TVS等)、MOSFET功率管、模拟与逻辑IC。公司一方面半导体业务继续投入研发,加速推进技术进步与迭代,新产品、新客户进展顺利,新能源汽车、工业自动化、可再生能源、AI服务器、数据中心、消费终端等领域项目也正在持续推进中;另一方面持续优化经营管理、整合资源配置,提升运营效率与盈利能力,坚持可持续发展和全球化战略,深化与国际客户的合作关系。2024年公司半导体业务研发投入为18亿元,持续投入研发,在对现有产品进行迭代升级推出新产品的基础上,持续开发高功率分立器件(IGBT、SiC和GaN)和模块、逻辑与模拟芯片组合(电源管理芯片、栅极驱动芯片、LED驱动芯片、能量采集芯片、信号链等)新产品,以满足市场对高性能、高功率产品日益增长的需求,以高ASP产品为未来业务增长持续提供驱动力。临港晶圆厂在2024年完成全球头部Tier1和整车厂汽车客户的VDA6.3审核,公司半导体业务2024年6月宣布计划投资2亿美元研发下一代宽禁带半导体产品(WBG),并在汉堡工厂建立生产基础设施。
投资建议:基于最新财报,我们调整公司25/26年盈利预测,新增27年盈利预测。预计2025-2027年公司归母净利润分别为17.97/22.59/30.15亿元(25/26年原值为19.85/28.89亿元)。对应PE为23/18/13倍。安世半导体是公司半导体业务承载平台,是全球领先的分立与功率芯片IDM领先厂商,是全球领先的汽车半导体公司之一,拥有近1.6万种产品料号。维持公司“推荐”评级。
风险提示:1)上游原材料价格波动风险:未来若不确定因素出现导致原材料价格出现波动,或将对公司成本、利润带来影响。2)下游应用领域增速不及预期风险:当宏观经济出现波动时,下游应用领域增速不及预期会对公司业绩产生一定影响。3)技术人才流失风险:半导体行业属于高技术壁垒的行业,若人才流失将影响公司长远发展。 |
4 | 招银国际 | Lily Yang,Kevin Zhang | 维持 | 买入 | Entering 2025 with a clean slate,with the worst left behind | 2025-01-20 |
闻泰科技(600745)
Wingtech announced its preliminary FY24 results. The company expects a netloss to be around RMB3.5-4.55bn (vs. RMB1.1bn NP in FY23). Mgmt. attributedthe NL primarily to 1) impairment related to the sale of ODM business announcedin Dec (link), 2) a write-down on deferred tax assets, and 3) further goodwillimpairments (RMB600mn/RMB500mn in 2022/23, with RMB200mn to be fullyimpaired in 2024). Despite short-term financial setbacks, we believe Wingtech isbetter-positioned for LT value creation as it moves forward with a lighter load asit transforms itself to a predominately semiconductor-focused company. MaintainBUY with TP unchanged at RMB52.
Net loss in FY24 due to one-off impairments from ODM spin-off. PerCounterpoint, the top three ODM players (Longcheer, Huaqin, Wingtech)accounted for 75% of total market in 1H24 in China. Wingtech ranked thirdwith 17% share, down 3ppts vs. 1H23. Despite a challenging 1H24, its ODMbusiness continued to improve in 4Q (after +46%/15% YoY/QoQ in 3Q), witha record revenue (est. double-digit YoY and single-digit QoQ). Excluding theimpairments (ODM business spin-off, write-down on DTA, and goodwill), thesegment turned profitable in 4Q as mgmt. expected. However, ODM is a lowmargin business, with the top three ODM players in China seeing <3% NPMon average in 9M24. We see No.2 player Huaqin (603296 CH, NR) is activelydiversifying its business portfolio towards higher-margin opportunities(recently acquired 75% of HCTRobot). We believe Wingtech is betterpositioned now as it moves forward with a lighter load.
Semi business continued to show resilience amid seasonal slowdown.Semi business revenue grew sequentially in FY24 (2Q/3Q: 10/15% QoQ).While 4Q24 sales faced seasonal softness, the business still recorded singledigit YoY (~7%) and flattish QoQ growth, driven by strong demand inconsumer, data center, and auto sectors. Notably, China contributed ~40%of total semi revenue, offsetting weakness overseas resulting from continuedinventory correction. 4Q GPM was near 2Q level (1Q/2Q/3Q: 31.0%/38.7%/40.5%). Mgmt. expects overseas auto OEMs to resume restocking in2025, with auto revenue currently accounting for 60% of total semi revenue.
Looking forward, we expect to see more upside in Wingtech’s valuation,lifted by 1) increasing semiconductor revenue share, 2) robust domestic autodemand with gradual recovery overseas, and 3) a re-rating opportunity givenits business transformation to being a semi-centric company. Maintain BUY,with TP unchanged at RMB52, corresponding to 24.8x FY25E P/E, basedon unchanged financial forecasts. Potential risks include heightened USChina trade relations, unfavourable exchange rates, and weaker-thanexpected overseas auto inventory correction. |
5 | 招银国际 | Lily Yang,Kevin Zhang | 维持 | 买入 | Valuation to improve on ODM business spin-off | 2025-01-03 |
闻泰科技(600745)
On December 31, 2024, Wingtech signed a “Letter of Intent for Sale” for ninewholly-owned ODM subsidiaries with Luxshare Limited in an all-cash deal. Thismove follows its recent addition to the US trade blacklist (news). According tomgmt., this transaction serves two primary purposes: (1) to align with the riskpreferences of certain ODM clients, and (2) to mitigate potential risks to itssemiconductor leg. The deal reflects a broader 2025 trend of event-driven M&Aopportunities in China's semiconductor sector amid strategic geopolitical shiftsand favourable policies, as indicated in our 2025 outlook report as a newinvestment theme (link). Maintain BUY on Wingtech, with TP unchanged atRMB52.
The sale exclusively involves its Android-focused ODM business, aburden on the company’s financial performance and valuation.Together, these subsidiaries held a total asset value of RMB28.2bn as of9M24, representing 36.1% of the company’s total assets and over 50% oftotal revenue (triggering one of CSRC’s asset restructuring regulations) in3Q24. In 9M24, the ODM segment contributed ~79% of total revenue butrecorded a substantial net loss of RMB1.2bn.
Wingtech will focus on its high-margin semiconductor business,Nexperia. In 9M24, semi segment generated RMB10.9bn in sales (~20%of total revenue), with GPM at 37% (RMB4bn) and NPM at 16%(RMB1.7bn), outperforming the company’s overall 9% GPM and 1% NPMduring the same period. In 2Q/3Q24, semi segment saw sequential growthof 6%/6%, driven by 1) strong domestic auto sales, recovering consumerelectronics and robust computing demand. We expect the company’s semisegment sales to grow by 11.8%/12.9% in FY25/26E, compared toBloomberg consensus of 9%/9%.
Maintain BUY, with TP unchanged at RMB52, corresponding to 24.8xFY25E P/E. We expect this business transformation will lead to a highervaluation for Wingtech, as it has almost transformed into a predominatelysemi-focused company. The company currently trades at 17.7x/12.2xFY25/26E P/E, which is appealing comparing to its domestic peers thattrade at an average 25/26E P/E of 30.3x/23.8x. Potential risks include:heightened China-US trade relations, and unfavourable exchange rates. |