| 序号 | 研究机构 | 分析师 | 投资评级 | 报告标题 | 更新日 |
| | | 上期评级 | 评级变动 | | |
| 1 | 招银国际 | Jill Wu,Benchen Huang | 维持 | 买入 | 1Q26 results: small molecule D&M fuelling overall growth | 2026-04-29 |
药明康德(603259)
WuXi AppTec released better-than-expected 1Q26 financial results. Revenuegrew by 28.8% YoY to RMB12.4bn with continuing operations revenue increasingby 39.4% YoY, while adj. non-IFRS attributable net profit surged 71.7% YoY toRMB4.6bn. 1Q26 revenue/ adj. net profit represent 24.1%/ 25.6% of our full-yearforecasts, respectively, significantly higher than the historical average of 18-20%.As of 1Q26, backlog for continuing operations grew by 23.6% YoY (+29% YoY ifexcl. FX fluctuations) to RMB59.8bn, with new orders signed in 1Q26 growing byover 25%. Mgmt. maintained full-year guidance, projecting 2026 revenue to reachRMB51.3-53.0bn, with revenue from continuing operations to grow by 18-22%YoY. Adj. net profit margin is expected to remain stable. Mgmt. indicated plans toraise the guidance in due course based on future business developments.
CRDMO model to capture global blockbuster opportunities. Within thismodel, drug discovery and development services continuously funnel projectsto downstream. The Company delivered +420,000 new compounds over thepast 12 months, converted 83 projects from R to D, and added nine new PhIIIand commercial projects in 1Q26. This funnel model, which covers a widerange of therapeutic areas and a large customer base globally, allows theCompany to identify industry trends and build capacity in advance. As aresult, this approach has enabled WuXi AppTec to capitalize on commercialopportunities for multiple global blockbuster products, including oral COVID-19 drugs and peptides/ small-molecule GLP-1 drugs. Benefiting from oralGLP-1 drugs, revenue from small molecule D&M surged by 80.1% YoY in1Q26, creating a new growth engine for the Company. As a natural extensionof CRDMO model, TIDES saw 1Q26 revenue growth impacted by the pacingof product deliveries, resulting in a modest 6.1% YoY increase. However,based on a robust backlog, mgmt. expects full-year revenue for this segmentto grow by ~40%, reflecting mgmt's confidence in the TIDES business.
Continued capacity expansion. Driven by growing global demand, WuXiAppTec plans to bring the construction of new Changzhou site ahead ofschedule, which will house both small molecule and TIDES capacity. Mgmt.targets the total solid-phase synthesis reactor volume to reach 130k liters bythe end of 2026, up from 100k liters at the end of 2025. Despite theuncertainties from the Middle East, the strategic cooperation agreementsigned with the Saudi government last Oct is proceeding as planned, a keycomponent of the Company's long-term strategy to build global capabilitiesand capacity. Mgmt. forecasts 2026 capex to be RMB6.5-7.5bn, representinga YoY increase of 17.3-35.4%. We believe that WuXi AppTec's mature globalCRDMO network and ongoing expansions will further reinforce its leadingposition in the global pharmaceutical outsourcing industry.
Maintain BUY. To factor into the strong momentum of small molecule D&Mbusiness, we lift our earnings forecasts, expecting revenue to grow by 15.2%/16.3%/ 14.8% YoY (for continuing operations: 20.6%/ 16.3%/ 14.8% YoY)and adj. net profit to grow by 26.2%/ 18.0%/ 15.8% YoY in 2026E/ 27E/ 28E,respectively. Hence, we raise our DCF-based TP from RMB133.00 toRMB143.00 (WACC: 9.39%, terminal growth: 2.00%; both unchanged). |
| 2 | 国信证券 | 彭思宇,陈曦炳,凌珑 | 维持 | 增持 | 2025年年报点评:业绩创历史新高,TIDES业务动能强劲 | 2026-04-26 |
药明康德(603259)
核心观点
2025年收入、利润创历史新高,在手订单充沛。2025年公司实现营收454.6亿元(+15.8%),归母净利润191.5亿元(+102.7%),经调整Non-IFRS归母净利润149.6亿元(+41.3%),公司营收、利润均创历史新高。其中,四季度单季度营收126.0亿元(+9.2%),单季度归母净利润70.8亿元(+142.5%),单季度扣非归母净利润37.2亿元(+12.5%)。截止2025年12月底,公司持续经营业务在手订单为580.0亿元(+28.8%),为未来业绩增长奠定基础。
化学业务:小分子业务基石稳固,TIDES业务成增长引擎。1)小分子业务基石稳固,2025年化学业务实现收入364.7亿元(+25.5%)。其中,小分子R到D转化分子310个,为下游持续引流,小分子D&M业务收入199.2亿元(+11.4%),小分子D&M管线累计新增839个分子,管线总数达到3452个,商业化和临床III期阶段项目全年增加22个。2025年底,小分子原料药反应釜总体积已提升至超4,000kL,且常州、泰兴及金山原料药基地均以零缺陷成功通过FDA现场检查,为长期发展夯实基础。2)TIDES业务增长强劲,2025年收入113.7亿元(+96.0%),在手订单同比增长20.2%,产能建设同步推进,泰兴多肽产能于2025年9月提前完成建设,公司多肽固相合成反应釜总体积已提升至超100,000L,为未来业绩增长奠定基础。
测试业务和生物学业务:逐步回暖。2025年测试业务实现收入40.4亿元(+4.7%),其中药物安全性评价业务收入同比增长4.6%,新分子业务占比提升至30%以上。2025年生物学业务实现收入26.8亿元(+5.2%),其中体外综合筛选和体内药理学共同驱动收入增长,新分子业务占比提升至30%以上。随着市场环境改善,两项业务有望延续回暖趋势,且新分子业务占比提升,有望进一步优化收入结构。
风险提示:景气度下行风险;地缘政治风险;汇兑风险;价格风险。 |
| 3 | 华源证券 | 刘闯,徐子悦 | 首次 | 买入 | 聚焦核心业务,2025年收入利润再创新高 | 2026-04-04 |
药明康德(603259)
投资要点:
药明康德为全球医药及生命科学行业提供一体化、端到端的新药研发和生产服务。
公司具有独特的“CRDMO”业务模式,服务范围涵盖化学药研发和生产、生物学研究、临床前测试和临床研发等领域。2025年收入和利润再创历史新高,实现营业收入454.6亿元,同比增长15.8%,持续经营业务收入同比增长21.4%;归母净利润191.5亿元(同比+102.6%);扣非归母净利润132.41亿元(同比+32.6%);公司披露经调整Non-IFRS归母净利润149.6亿元(同比+41.3%)。毛利率实现47.6%(同比+6.1pct),经调整Non-IFRS净利率32.9%(同比+5.9pct)。
TIDES业务保持高速增长,D&M有望放量,安评业务保持亚太领先地位。2025年化学板块实现收入364.7亿元(同比+25.5%),其中TIDES业务收入113.7亿元(同比+96.0%);小分子CDMO管线持续扩张,D&M业务收入199.2亿元(同比+11.4%)。2025年测试板块实现收入40.4亿元(同比+4.7%),其中药物安全性评价业务收入同比增长4.6%,持续保持亚太行业领先地位。
在手订单持续增长,推进产能建设,公司后续业绩稳定或具备韧性。截至2025年12月底,持续经营业务在手订单达到580.0亿元(同比+28.8%);其中TIDES在手订单同比增长20.2%,TIDES D&M服务客户数同比提升25%,服务分子数量同比提升45%,彰显高景气度。加速推进全球产能建设,2025年底,小分子原料药反应釜总体积已提升至超4,000kL;2025年9月,公司提前完成泰兴多肽产能建设。公司多肽固相合成反应釜总体积已提升至超100,000L。公司2025年资本开支为55.38亿元,公司预计2026年资本开支将达到65-75亿元。公司预计2026年公司整体收入将达到513-530亿元,持续经营业务收入同比增长18%-22%。公司将更加聚焦CRDMO核心战略,加速全球化能力建设和产能投放。
盈利预测与评级:我们预计公司2026-2028年归母净利润分别为174.05/207.07/249.94亿元,同比增速分别为-9.11%/18.97%/20.70%,当前股价对应的PE分别为17/14/12倍。我们选取药明合联、凯莱英、康龙化成为可比公司,鉴于公司将更加聚焦CRDMO核心战略,加速全球化能力建设和产能投放,持续提高生产经营效率,利润率稳定且具备韧性。首次覆盖,给予“买入”评级。
风险提示:国际环境变化的风险,药物研发市场增速不及预期的风险,行业竞争加剧风险,产能投入进度低于预期的风险。 |
| 4 | 中邮证券 | 盛丽华,陈灿 | 维持 | 买入 | 2025年年报点评:26年指引超预期,TIDES业务持续亮眼 | 2026-03-25 |
药明康德(603259)
事件
公司公布25年年报,全年收入454.6亿元(+15.8%),归母净利润191.5亿元(+102.6%),Non-IFRS归母净利润149.6亿元(+41.3%)25Q4收入126.0亿元(+9.2%),归母净利润70.8亿元(+142.5%),Non-IFRS归母净利润44.2亿元(+36.5%)。业绩符合预期。
核心观点
Chemistry业务增速稳定,TIDES业务持续亮眼
25年Chemistry收入364.7亿元(+25.5%)、毛利率52.3%(+5.9pct,经调整Non IFRS毛利率,下同);其中小分子D&M收入199.2亿元(+11.4%)、TIDES收入113.7亿元(+96.0%)。截至25年底TIDES在手订单同比增长20.2%,较三季报公告截至Q3末的17.1%增速有所提升。25Q4收入104.9亿元(+17.1%)、毛利率54.8%(+6.4pct)。其中小分子D&M收入56.8亿元(+5.4%)、TIDES收入35.5亿元(+56.6%)。
Testing和Biology业务企稳,毛利率仍有承压
Testing业务25年收入40.4亿元(+4.7%)、毛利率30.5%(-5.7pct),全年恢复正增长,价格因素仍影响毛利率。Biology业务25年收入26.8亿元(+5.5%)、毛利率37.0%(-1.9pct);25Q4收入7.3亿元(+2.8%)、毛利率36.6%(-4.2pct),毛利率同样受市场竞争影响,公司保持灵活定价策略。
盈利能力环比保持稳定,26年指引增速超预期
25年毛利率为48.2%(+6.6pct),Non-IFRS归母净利率为32.9%(+5.9pct);25Q4毛利率为51.3%(+8.1pct),Non-IFRS归母净利率为35.1%(+7.0pct),环比Q3基本持平。
公司截至25年底持续经营业务在手订单580亿元(+28.8%)。指引26年整体收入513-530亿元,持续经营业务收入同比增长18-22%保持稳定且有韧性的经调整non-IFRS归母净利率水平。
盈利预测和投资建议
预计公司26/27/28年收入分别为521.6/605.9/694.5亿元,同比增长14.7%/16.2%/14.6%;归母净利润为163.9/192.8/223.9亿元同比增长-14.4%/17.7%/16.1%,对应PE分别17/15/12倍。药明康德为全球领先的“一体化、端到端”的新药研发服务平台,考虑公司核心Chemistry业务有望维持较快增速、盈利能力也将稳步提升,维持“买入”评级。
风险提示:
地缘政治风险;产能投放进度不及预期;行业需求复苏不及预期竞争降价压力高于预期。 |
| 5 | 开源证券 | 余汝意 | 维持 | 买入 | 公司信息更新报告:超额达成全年指引,2026年小分子CDMO将加速 | 2026-03-25 |
药明康德(603259)
2025年收入和利润再创历史新高,持续经营业务在手订单稳健增长
2025年公司实现营收454.56亿元,同比增长15.8%,持续经营业务收入同比增长21.4%;归母净利润191.51亿元,同比增长102.7%;经调整Non-IFRS归母净利润149.6亿元,同比增长41.3%,经调整Non-IFRS净利率达32.9%,同比提升5.9pct。单看2025年第四季度,公司实现营收125.99亿元,同比增长9.2%,环比增长4.5%;经调整Non-IFRS归母净利润44.19亿元,同比增长36.4%,环比增长4.7%。截至2025年底,公司持续经营业务在手订单达580.0亿元,同比+28.8%。考虑下游需求持续回暖以及小分子CDMO业务有望加速增长,我们上调2026和2027年的盈利预测(原预计归母净利润151.27/179.39亿元),并新增2028年的盈利预测,预计2026-2028年归母净利润为183.24/226.74/278.86亿元,EPS为6.14/7.60/9.35元,当前股价对应PE为14.3/11.6/9.4倍,维持“买入”评级。
小分子D&M业务保持强劲增长,TIDES业务高速增长
2025年公司化学业务实现营收364.7亿元,同比+25.5%。小分子D&M业务收入199.2亿元,同比+11.4%,其中2025年第四季度收入56.8亿元,同比+5.19%,环比+2.16%,2025年小分子D&M收入逐季递增。小分子D&M管线持续扩张,2025年新增分子839个,管线分子总计3452个。2025年TIDES业务实现营收113.7亿元,同比增长96.0%;截至2025年底,TIDES D&M服务客户数同比提升25%,服务分子数量同比提升45%,TIDES在手订单同比增长20.2%。
安评保持亚太领先,生物学业务持续引流,2026年保持业务快速增长2025年公司测试业务实现营收40.4亿元,同比恢复正增长+4.7%,药物安全性评价保持亚太领先地位;2025年生物学业务实现营收26.8亿元,同比恢复正增长+5.2%,持续为公司带来20%+的新客户。2026年公司预计整体收入513-530亿元,持续经营业务收入同比+18-22%,预计资本开支继续增长至65-75亿元。2026年公司将更加聚焦CRDMO核心战略,加速全球化能力建设和产能投放。
风险提示:中美贸易摩擦,市场竞争加剧,环保和安全生产风险。 |
| 6 | 招银国际 | Jill Wu,Benchen Huang | 维持 | 买入 | Strong CDMO demand to fuel 2026 growth | 2026-03-25 |
药明康德(603259)
WuXi AppTec reported impressive financial results for 2025, with revenuegrowing by 15.8% YoY (including 21.4% YoY growth for continuing operations)and adj. non-IFRS attributable net profit expanding at a remarkable 41.3% YoY.The Company's 2025 revenue and adj. net profit beat our estimates by 2.7% and18.2%, respectively. Looking ahead, mgmt. projects 2026 revenue to reach RMB51.3-53.0bn, along with 18-22% YoY revenue growth for continuing operations,while the adj. non-IFRS net profit margin is expected to remain stable.
Strong CDMO demand. As of 4Q25, the backlog for WuXi AppTec’scontinuing operations grew by 28.8% YoY (or 34% on a constant currencybasis) to reach RMB58.0bn. Although this signifies a deceleration from+45.8% YoY growth recorded as of 3Q25, we note that such growth is highlycommendable given the already massive absolute base of backlog, clearlyindicating the consistently high demand from global customers, particularlyfor its CDMO services. As of 4Q25, backlog for TIDES increased by 20.2%YoY, accelerating from the +17.1% growth at the end of 3Q25. Mgmt.disclosed that the TIDES backlog has reached ~RMB20.0 bn. Based on thisfigure, we calculate that the backlog for other businesses booked YoYgrowth of 33.8% in 2025, and we believe the strong growth was primarilydriven by the small molecule D&M business. Supported by the robustdemand, mgmt. forecasts that the TIDES business will grow by 30-40% YoY(on a constant currency basis) in 2026, while the small molecule D&Mbusiness is also expected to experience accelerated growth.
Early-stage businesses recovering with improvement in revenuegrowth. Within the chemistry segment, full-year revenue for small moleculedrug discovery services declined by 3.8% YoY (a marked improvement fromthe -28.7% YoY drop in 2024), with 2H25 seeing a narrowed decline of 2.2%YoY. Revenue from Testing segment grew by 4.7% YoY (vs -8.0% YoY in2024), driven by 8.8% YoY growth in 2H25. Similarly, revenue from Biologysegment increased by 5.2% YoY (vs -0.3% YoY in 2024). As the globalbiotech funding continues to recover, we believe the early-stage businessesare well-positioned to maintain this recovery momentum throughout 2026.
Doubling down on global capacity expansion. WuXi AppTec's capex in2025 amounted to RMB5.54bn, representing a YoY surge of 38.5% (vs -27.5% YoY decline in 2024). To support ongoing global capacity build-outsand to capture future market opportunities, mgmt. anticipated 2026 capex toreach RMB6.5 - 7.5 bn, implying a YoY increase of 17.3% to 35.4%. Notably,the Company plans to further expand its solid-phase peptide synthesisreactor volume to 130,000 liters, serving as a strong indicator of the surgingmanufacturing demand for peptide and oligonucleotide drugs.
Maintain BUY. We raise our DCF-based TP from RMB123.35 toRMB133.00 (WACC: 9.39%, terminal growth: 2.00%; both unchanged), tofactor into the updated guidance and our positive demand outlook. We nowexpect revenue to grow by 13.7%/ 15.7%/ 13.4% YoY (for continuingoperations: 19.1%/ 15.7%/ 13.4% YoY) and adjusted non-IFRS net profit togrow by 19.9%/ 16.0%/ 13.6% YoY in 2026E/ 27E/ 28E, respectively. |
| 7 | 中邮证券 | 盛丽华,陈灿 | 维持 | 买入 | 业绩超预期,Q4盈利能力维持稳定 | 2026-01-19 |
药明康德(603259)
事件
公司发布2025年业绩预告,25年营收454.6亿元(+15.8%,其中持续经营业务收入增速21.4%)、归母净利润191.5亿元(+102.7%)Non-IFRS归母净利润149.6亿元(+41.3%);25Q4收入126.0亿元(+9.2%)、归母净利70.8亿元(+142.5%)、Non-IFRS归母净利润44.2亿元(+36.5%)。业绩超预期。
核心观点
持续经营业务增速超预期,Q4收入环比增长
此前根据公司三季报指引25年全年收入435-440亿元,持续经营业务收入增速为17-18%,本次业绩预告全年持续经营业务收入增速为21.4%,超此前指引,25Q4收入在已剥离临床CRO和SMO业务(25Q3收入约为4.1亿元)基础上环比Q3仍有提升,预计TIDES等业务带动Chemistry业务维持快速增长。
Q4盈利能力环比稳定,26年仍有提升潜力
25年全年出售合联股权收益约41.6亿元、出售临床CRO和SMO业务收益为14.3亿元。Non-IFRS归母净利率来看25Q4表现稳定,达到35.1%略低于25Q3,较24Q4有较大幅度提升。考虑到26年大单带动下Chemistry业务仍将维持快速增长、毛利率提升趋势,在海外需求稳定恢复、国内即将迎来上游拐点背景下,26年盈利能力仍有提升潜力。
盈利预测与投资建议
预计公司25/26/27年收入分别为454.6/515.5/588.2亿元,同比增长15.8%/13.4%/14.1%;归母净利润为191.5/167.3/193.2亿元同比增长102.7%/-12.7%/15.5%,对应PE分别16/19/16倍。药明康德为全球领先的“一体化、端到端”的新药研发服务平台,考虑公司核心Chemistry业务有望维持较快增速、盈利能力也将稳步提升,维持“买入”评级。
风险提示:
地缘政治风险;产能投放进度不及预期;行业需求复苏不及预期竞争降价压力高于预期。 |